Transparent validation
Performance you can inspect.
Limitations included.
Every published metric comes from chronological out-of-sample testing. The model only learns from matches available before each prediction.
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Market scorecard
Each market earns its own status.
A strong result in one market does not validate every other output. MatchMetric keeps the distinction visible.
1X2 match resultPENDING
—Brier skill versus baseline
Over / Under 2.5PENDING
—Brier skill versus baseline
Both teams to scorePENDING
—Brier skill versus baseline
Total cornersPENDING
—9.5 line · chronological test
Total cardsPENDING
—3.5 line · chronological test
Player shots on targetPENDING
LINEUPrequires confirmed starter evidence
Public audit trail
Every settled forecast. Wins and misses.
—Awaiting settled forecasts
Only predictions saved before kick-off qualify. Results are settled automatically from the official fixture feed; losing selections are never removed.
The first verified results will appear after currently published fixtures finish.
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What these numbers mean
Evidence, not a promise.
The model produced better probabilistic scores than the specified constant baseline over this historical sample.
Brier and log-loss measure probability quality. They do not represent betting profit or guaranteed correct selections.
Timestamped historical bookmaker odds are unavailable, so this report does not claim backtested profitability.
Teams, competitions and market conditions change. Historical evidence cannot guarantee future performance.
Explore the current model